Conf = Big South State = VA
Nickname = Lancers Coach = Kylar FergusonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 81.8655396 home-field advantage = -0.90 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Liberty Atlantic Sun ( 6-12, 87.6) 4-16 224 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 5-11, 82.2) 11-15 228 H Old Dominion American ( 3-13, 83.8) 7-11 307 A Kent State MAC ( 6-11, 81.7) 12-13 309 A Youngstown State MAC ( 0-16, 76.8) 16-10 313 H George Mason Atlantic 10 (10- 8, 85.2) 10- 7 317 A William & Mary Colonial ( 4-13, 84.1) 12-13 320 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 91.7) 4-17 327 H Radford Big South ( 6-11, 79.3) 14- 8 330 A Presbyterian Big South ( 2-14, 76.3) 16-13 403 A Wofford Big South ( 7- 9, 82.5) 15-11 406 H Winthrop Big South ( 2-13, 78.2) 19-15 411 A Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 4-11, 82.5) 18-15 413 A Mercer Big South (14- 6, 89.2) 11-26 417 H Furman Big South ( 8-10, 84.1) 16-17 424 A High Point Big South (12- 6, 87.0) 8-21 427 H Gardner Webb Big South ( 0-17, 74.4) 12-11 503 A Mercer Big South (14- 6, 89.2) 14-23
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Liberty 4-16 -12 -6 -0.64 224 H Kennesaw State 11-15 -4 0 -- -4.81 228 H Old Dominion 7-11 -4 0 - -3.20 307 A Kent State 12-13 -1 0 -0.48 309 A Youngstown State 16-10 6 4 1.64 313 H George Mason 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.16 317 A William & Mary 12-13 -1 -2 1.85 320 A Virginia Tech 4-17 -13 -10 0.00 327 H Radford 14- 8 6 3 + 2.32 330 A Presbyterian 16-13 3 4 -1.92 403 A Wofford 15-11 4 -1 ++ 5.27 406 H Winthrop 19-15 4 4 -0.77 411 A Stetson 18-15 3 -1 ++ 4.31 413 A Mercer 11-26 -15 -7 0.00 417 H Furman 16-17 -1 -1 0.10 424 A High Point 8-21 -13 -5 -1.19 427 H Gardner Webb 12-11 1 8 --- -6.00 503 A Mercer 14-23 -9 -7 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 427 H Gardner Webb 12-11 1 8 --- -6.00 224 H Kennesaw State 11-15 -4 0 -- -4.81 228 H Old Dominion 7-11 -4 0 - -3.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H George Mason 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.16 403 A Wofford 15-11 4 -1 ++ 5.27 411 A Stetson 18-15 3 -1 ++ 4.31 327 H Radford 14- 8 6 3 + 2.32
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 82.11 Power Rank................. 104 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 63.32 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 112 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4670 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 112 RPI Rating............... .3865 RPI Rank................... 109 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 83 Selection sum ........... 315 Selection Rank ............ 108 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -210. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 95 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -210. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 94 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 14.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -7.0